HitStorylineQuarterback competitionSample
Media consensus lags the QB decision
The prediction
Public consensus on the quarterback competition will still be framed as 'who is better' a week after the staff's decision is visible in rep distribution.
Thesis
Consensus tracks announcements; rep distribution leads announcements by two to three weeks.
Supporting evidence
- Historical lag pattern
- Current framing unchanged
Countercase
A single well-sourced report can collapse the lag instantly.
How it resolved
Hit
Framing was unchanged a week later.
Resolved Jun 30, 2026, 1:00 PM